Coverage & current scan

The oracle only prices markets whose rule, source, time, entity, strike, and YES side can be bound. Everything else fails closed. Supported venues: kalshi, polymarket, limitless.

Scan generated 2026-08-27T18:43:50.479031+00:00

6218

Markets seen

807

Evaluated

1740

Priced & included

257

Actionable

By venue

kalshi: 2789
limitless: 1429
polymarket: 2000

By domain

commodities: 33
economics: 378
other: 4478
sports: 820
weather: 509

By coverage status

actionable: 257
model_missing: 104
parse_missing: 676
source_missing: 153
wait: 550

Current priced markets

Venue	Question	Family	Oracle	Implied	Side	Actionable
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 93-94° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	10.3%	97.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	12.0%	97.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	17.5%	97.0%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be >79° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	73.2%	0.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	21.6%	94.0%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	31.7%	99.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	30.3%	97.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be >78° on Aug 28, 2026?	weather.temperature	65.9%	5.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be >64° on Aug 28, 2026?	weather.temperature	88.5%	26.0%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?	economics.gdp	74.1%	14.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	22.2%	80.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	19.8%	82.0%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	33.6%	91.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	31.3%	89.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?	economics.gdp	64.1%	10.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	32.4%	85.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	21.6%	74.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 89-90° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	24.3%	70.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be >79° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	44.3%	0.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	11.1%	58.0%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be <80° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	55.7%	98.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 92-93° on Aug 28, 2026?	weather.temperature	23.6%	67.0%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?	economics.gdp	82.0%	34.5%	YES	Yes
kalshi	Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	19.9%	65.5%	NO	Yes
kalshi	Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Aug 27, 2026?	weather.temperature	26.7%	71.0%	NO	Yes

Active hurricane and Henry Hub coverage

These additional families have a wired probability engine and an exact resolution source.

Market / family	Current state	What can be priced	Sources / limits
Atlantic seasonal storm counts `weather.hurricane_season`	`live_signal_candidate`	named storms above threshold, hurricanes above threshold, major hurricanes above threshold	NOAA CPC Atlantic seasonal outlook, NHC current-season summary Only structured NOAA-resolved Atlantic count thresholds are priced. Landfall, category-at-landfall, damage, and individual-storm paths are not inferred from this model.
Henry Hub natural gas `energy.henry_hub_spot`	`live_signal_candidate`	calendar-year daily spot-price maximum above threshold	EIA Henry Hub DHHNGSP official series via FRED public mirror Only EIA-resolved annual-high thresholds are priced. Futures, weekly/monthly extrema, and unrelated gas-price definitions remain gated until separately validated.

Supported domains

active

Weather

Daily temperature maxima/minima and precipitation for verified stations.

active

Atlantic hurricanes

NOAA-resolved seasonal named-storm, hurricane, and major-hurricane count thresholds.

active

Henry Hub natural gas

EIA-resolved calendar-year daily spot-price maximum thresholds priced from official daily history.

supported

Economics

Headline & core CPI, GDP, unemployment, payrolls, Fed rate decisions, and recession-quarter nowcasts against official releases.

partial

Sports

World Cup winner and stage-of-elimination markets currently produce candidates. Tennis, MLB, and club-soccer match engines are conditional; NBA, NHL, esports, props, and unsupported outrights fail closed as detailed below.

Sports coverage by sport and market shape

The current artifact contains 820 sports rows and 0 actionable sports candidates. Discovery is not support: markets without a bound source, parser, or model remain visible but fail closed.

Sport / family	Current state	What can be priced	Sources / limits
FIFA World Cup `sports.world_cup`	`live_signal_candidate`	2026 national-team winner, stage of elimination	official FIFA calendar/rankings, World Football Elo Props, top scorer, goals, and exact matchup outcomes are not priced. Signals remain experimental unless exact-version prospective evidence is promotion-eligible.
Tennis `sports.tennis`	`conditional_engine`	head-to-head match winner with exact YES-side binding	Ultimate Tennis Statistics Elo No qualifying markets in the current scan. Tournament outrights are unsupported because no draw/bracket simulation is wired.
MLB / baseball `sports.mlb`	`conditional_engine`	head-to-head game winner with exact YES-side binding	official MLB Stats API completed-game results No qualifying markets in the current scan. The current-season Elo model has no pitcher or lineup adjustment; World Series/champion outrights are unsupported.
Club soccer `sports.club_soccer`	`conditional_engine`	head-to-head match winner with exact YES-side binding	ClubElo No qualifying markets in the current scan. Draw and home-field effects are not modeled, so ambiguous or unsuitable contracts fail closed.
NBA / basketball `sports.nba`	`conditional_engine`	head-to-head game winner with exact YES-side binding	ESPN season point differential (engine input) The conservative head-to-head parser and engine are wired. Champion futures remain model-missing; basketball requests return no_signal when no qualifying head-to-head row exists.
NHL / hockey `sports.nhl`	`unsupported_fails_closed`	No supported shape currently	No approved source/model Current champion futures are visible in scans but no approved champion model is wired.
Esports `sports.esports`	`unsupported_fails_closed`	No supported shape currently	No approved source/model Markets may be discovered, but no approved source and probability model are wired.

Current rows by family

sports: 648
sports.club_soccer: 30
sports.esports: 77
sports.nba: 30
sports.nhl: 32
sports.tennis: 3

Current rows by venue

kalshi: 9
limitless: 809
polymarket: 2

Current coverage states

model_missing: 62
parse_missing: 659
source_missing: 77
wait: 22

Kalshi series with a wired engine

weather

KXHIGHAUS, KXHIGHCHI, KXHIGHDEN, KXHIGHLAX, KXHIGHMIA, KXHIGHNY, KXHIGHPHIL, KXHIGHTATL, KXHIGHTBOS, KXHIGHTDAL, KXHIGHTDC, KXHIGHTHOU, KXHIGHTLV, KXHIGHTMIN, KXHIGHTNOLA, KXHIGHTOKC, KXHIGHTPHX, KXHIGHTSATX, KXHIGHTSEA, KXHIGHTSFO, KXLOWTATL, KXLOWTAUS, KXLOWTBOS, KXLOWTCHI, KXLOWTDAL, KXLOWTDC, KXLOWTDEN, KXLOWTHOU, KXLOWTLAX, KXLOWTLV, KXLOWTMIA, KXLOWTMIN, KXLOWTNOLA, KXLOWTNYC, KXLOWTOKC, KXLOWTPHIL, KXLOWTPHX, KXLOWTSATX, KXLOWTSEA, KXLOWTSFO

economics

KXCPICORE, KXECONSTATCPI, KXCPIYOY, KXGDP, KXU3, KXPAYROLLS, KXFED

sports

KXWCSTAGEOFELIM

Deferred — fails closed

— Markets whose resolution rule, source, time, entity, strike, or YES side cannot be bound.

— Venues whose fee schedule is not yet verified (edge is disclosed, never guessed).

— Anything requiring subjective judgement rather than a data source.