Coverage & current scan

The oracle only prices markets whose rule, source, time, entity, strike, and YES side can be bound. Everything else fails closed. Supported venues: kalshi, polymarket, limitless.

Scan generated 2026-08-27T18:43:50.479031+00:00

6218
Markets seen
807
Evaluated
1740
Priced & included
257
Actionable

By venue

kalshi
2789
limitless
1429
polymarket
2000

By domain

commodities
33
economics
378
other
4478
sports
820
weather
509

By coverage status

actionable
257
model_missing
104
parse_missing
676
source_missing
153
wait
550

Current priced markets

VenueQuestionFamily OracleImplied SideActionable
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 93-94° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 10.3% 97.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 12.0% 97.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 17.5% 97.0% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be >79° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 73.2% 0.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 21.6% 94.0% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 31.7% 99.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 30.3% 97.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be >78° on Aug 28, 2026? weather.temperature 65.9% 5.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be >64° on Aug 28, 2026? weather.temperature 88.5% 26.0% YES Yes
kalshi Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026? economics.gdp 74.1% 14.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 22.2% 80.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 19.8% 82.0% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 33.6% 91.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 31.3% 89.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026? economics.gdp 64.1% 10.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 32.4% 85.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 21.6% 74.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 89-90° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 24.3% 70.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be >79° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 44.3% 0.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 11.1% 58.0% NO Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be <80° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 55.7% 98.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 92-93° on Aug 28, 2026? weather.temperature 23.6% 67.0% NO Yes
kalshi Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026? economics.gdp 82.0% 34.5% YES Yes
kalshi Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 19.9% 65.5% NO Yes
kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Aug 27, 2026? weather.temperature 26.7% 71.0% NO Yes

Active hurricane and Henry Hub coverage

These additional families have a wired probability engine and an exact resolution source.

Market / familyCurrent stateWhat can be pricedSources / limits
Atlantic seasonal storm counts
weather.hurricane_season
live_signal_candidate named storms above threshold, hurricanes above threshold, major hurricanes above threshold NOAA CPC Atlantic seasonal outlook, NHC current-season summary
Only structured NOAA-resolved Atlantic count thresholds are priced. Landfall, category-at-landfall, damage, and individual-storm paths are not inferred from this model.
Henry Hub natural gas
energy.henry_hub_spot
live_signal_candidate calendar-year daily spot-price maximum above threshold EIA Henry Hub DHHNGSP official series via FRED public mirror
Only EIA-resolved annual-high thresholds are priced. Futures, weekly/monthly extrema, and unrelated gas-price definitions remain gated until separately validated.

Supported domains

active

Weather

Daily temperature maxima/minima and precipitation for verified stations.

active

Atlantic hurricanes

NOAA-resolved seasonal named-storm, hurricane, and major-hurricane count thresholds.

active

Henry Hub natural gas

EIA-resolved calendar-year daily spot-price maximum thresholds priced from official daily history.

supported

Economics

Headline & core CPI, GDP, unemployment, payrolls, Fed rate decisions, and recession-quarter nowcasts against official releases.

partial

Sports

World Cup winner and stage-of-elimination markets currently produce candidates. Tennis, MLB, and club-soccer match engines are conditional; NBA, NHL, esports, props, and unsupported outrights fail closed as detailed below.

Sports coverage by sport and market shape

The current artifact contains 820 sports rows and 0 actionable sports candidates. Discovery is not support: markets without a bound source, parser, or model remain visible but fail closed.

Sport / familyCurrent stateWhat can be pricedSources / limits
FIFA World Cup
sports.world_cup
live_signal_candidate 2026 national-team winner, stage of elimination official FIFA calendar/rankings, World Football Elo
Props, top scorer, goals, and exact matchup outcomes are not priced. Signals remain experimental unless exact-version prospective evidence is promotion-eligible.
Tennis
sports.tennis
conditional_engine head-to-head match winner with exact YES-side binding Ultimate Tennis Statistics Elo
No qualifying markets in the current scan. Tournament outrights are unsupported because no draw/bracket simulation is wired.
MLB / baseball
sports.mlb
conditional_engine head-to-head game winner with exact YES-side binding official MLB Stats API completed-game results
No qualifying markets in the current scan. The current-season Elo model has no pitcher or lineup adjustment; World Series/champion outrights are unsupported.
Club soccer
sports.club_soccer
conditional_engine head-to-head match winner with exact YES-side binding ClubElo
No qualifying markets in the current scan. Draw and home-field effects are not modeled, so ambiguous or unsuitable contracts fail closed.
NBA / basketball
sports.nba
conditional_engine head-to-head game winner with exact YES-side binding ESPN season point differential (engine input)
The conservative head-to-head parser and engine are wired. Champion futures remain model-missing; basketball requests return no_signal when no qualifying head-to-head row exists.
NHL / hockey
sports.nhl
unsupported_fails_closed No supported shape currently No approved source/model
Current champion futures are visible in scans but no approved champion model is wired.
Esports
sports.esports
unsupported_fails_closed No supported shape currently No approved source/model
Markets may be discovered, but no approved source and probability model are wired.

Current rows by family

sports
648
sports.club_soccer
30
sports.esports
77
sports.nba
30
sports.nhl
32
sports.tennis
3

Current rows by venue

kalshi
9
limitless
809
polymarket
2

Current coverage states

model_missing
62
parse_missing
659
source_missing
77
wait
22

Kalshi series with a wired engine

weather

KXHIGHAUS, KXHIGHCHI, KXHIGHDEN, KXHIGHLAX, KXHIGHMIA, KXHIGHNY, KXHIGHPHIL, KXHIGHTATL, KXHIGHTBOS, KXHIGHTDAL, KXHIGHTDC, KXHIGHTHOU, KXHIGHTLV, KXHIGHTMIN, KXHIGHTNOLA, KXHIGHTOKC, KXHIGHTPHX, KXHIGHTSATX, KXHIGHTSEA, KXHIGHTSFO, KXLOWTATL, KXLOWTAUS, KXLOWTBOS, KXLOWTCHI, KXLOWTDAL, KXLOWTDC, KXLOWTDEN, KXLOWTHOU, KXLOWTLAX, KXLOWTLV, KXLOWTMIA, KXLOWTMIN, KXLOWTNOLA, KXLOWTNYC, KXLOWTOKC, KXLOWTPHIL, KXLOWTPHX, KXLOWTSATX, KXLOWTSEA, KXLOWTSFO

economics

KXCPICORE, KXECONSTATCPI, KXCPIYOY, KXGDP, KXU3, KXPAYROLLS, KXFED

sports

KXWCSTAGEOFELIM

Deferred — fails closed

— Markets whose resolution rule, source, time, entity, strike, or YES side cannot be bound.

— Venues whose fee schedule is not yet verified (edge is disclosed, never guessed).

— Anything requiring subjective judgement rather than a data source.